Tuesday, January 06, 2009

GOLDEN GLOBES PREDICTIONS















BEST SUP. ACTOR
WILL WIN: Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight (no contest here)
SHOULD WIN: Heath Ledger
SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Josh Brolin, Milk; Eddie Marsan, Happy-Go-Lucky

BEST SUP. ACTRESS
WILL WIN: Penelope Cruz, Vicky Christina Barcelona (pictured)
SHOULD WIN: Penelope Cruz
SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Taraji Henson, Benjamin Button

BEST SCREENPLAY
WILL WIN: Eric Roth, Benjamin Button
SHOULD WIN: Peter Morgan, Frost/Nixon
SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Dustin Lance Black, Milk; Kelly Reichardt, Wendy and Lucy

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
WILL WIN: Gomorrah
SHOULD WIN: Waltz with Bashir
SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Silent Light (Mexico); A Christmas Tale (France)

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
WILL WIN: "The Wrestler," Bruce Springsteen (The Wrestler)
SHOULD WIN: "Down To Earth," Peter Gabriel (WALL-E)
SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: "All Dressed In Love," Jennifer Hudson (Sex and the City)

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
WILL WIN: A. H. Rahman, Slumdog Millionaire
SHOULD WIN: Clint Eastwood, Changeling
SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Danny Elfman, Milk

BEST DIRECTOR
WILL WIN: David Fincher, Benjamin Button
SHOULD WIN: Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire (pictured)
SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Gus Van Sant, Milk; Mike Leigh, Happy-Go-Lucky

BEST ACTOR-MUSICAL OR COMEDY PIC
WILL WIN: Colin Farrell, In Bruges (Bruges has strong support from the HFPA given its three major nods)
SHOULD WIN: Farrell
SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: none (nice line-up)

BEST ACTRESS-MUSICAL OR COMEDY PIC
WILL WIN: Sally Hawkins (no contest; she deserves it)
SHOULD WIN: Hawkins
SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: none (v.g. line-up)

BEST MUSICAL OR COMEDY PIC
WILL WIN: Mamma Mia! (commercial appeal)
SHOULD WIN: Happy-Go-Lucky (no questions asked)
SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: The Etta James biopic Cadillac Records (just kidding!)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
WILL WIN: WALL-E
SHOULD WIN: what else?
SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Waltz With Bashir (though it is nominated for Best Foreign Film)

BEST ACTOR-DRAMA
WILL WIN: Sean Penn, Milk
SHOULD WIN: Penn or Mickey Rourke
SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Benicio del Toro, Che: The Argentine (Part I) (I've seen it last Christmas and he was convincing as Che Guevara.)

BEST ACTRESS-DRAMA
WILL WIN: Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road (if she wins here, Oscar might be next)
SHOULD WIN: Winslet or Kristin Scott-Thomas, Il Y A Longtemps Que Je T'Aime (I've Loved You So Long)
SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Melissa Leo, Frozen River; Michelle Williams, Wendy and Lucy

BEST PICTURE-DRAMA
WILL WIN: Slumdog Millionaire (the Oscar is another thing, and I will not count on it)
SHOULD WIN: Frost/Nixon (I have yet to see Slumdog, Button, and The Reader, so I'll go with my personal choice.)
SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Wendy and Lucy

Next week: Oscar predix (three days before the Jan. 27 nominations special)

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